First, the number of swing seats will continue to decline the new maps have six fewer highly competitive districts than the old ones. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast.

Partisanship aside, there are two other important takeaways from the 2021-22 redistricting cycle. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Republicans have also shored up their existing position by converting light-red districts into safer seats in states like Texas. Republicans have benefited from their own brazen cartography in states like Florida and courts striking down Democratic gerrymanders in Maryland and New York.

This is due to aggressive map-drawing by Democrats in states such as Illinois as well as court decisions overturning Republican gerrymanders in states like North Carolina.ДЄfter accounting for incumbency, however, Republicans are actually the ones who have gained ground from redistricting: The GOP is positioned for a net gain of three to four seats in 2022 just thanks to the new lines alone. House of Representatives in the midterm elections, and the GOP is getting good odds for taking back the 50-50 Senate, too. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. As of June 1, 49 of the 50 states have settled on the boundaries. The new maps have six more Democratic-leaning seats than the old ones and the same number of Republican-leaning seats. Republicans are widely expected to regain control of the U.S. Democrats control the chamber as the vice-president can break tie votes. The march to the 2022 midterm elections is on, as states work to complete their new congressional maps following the 2020 Census. Several of those maps are being challenged in court as illegal gerrymanders, but none seems like a serious possibility to be overturned before the midterms.ДЄlthough Republicans went into the cycle with control over drawing more districts, the number of Democratic-leaning seats actually increased as a result of redistricting. Every state in the union now has a new congressional map in place for the 2022 election.

Midterm election tracker